Estimates for global oil demand in 2011 lowered by 60,000 barrels a day the International Energy Agency (IEA), citing the impact of higher oil prices and slowing economic growth. In contrast, the agency upgraded its estimates for demand 2012 by 70,000 barrels a day, due to higher expectations for energy production using oil to Japan. Specifically, the average global oil demand is expected to stand at 89.5 million bpd in 2011 and increased to 91.1 million . barrels a day next year, according to the IEA. In its report, the department says possible double dip in the global economy would hurt energy demand enough to drive the oil markets in excess supply next year. The above estimate suggests that the recent dip in international oil prices (more than 12% since early August) may be … get an extension if the developed economies sink into recession again. However, given the enormous economic uncertainty and the equilibrium of the oil market today, the IEA warned that preventive action by oil producers to defend high prices. “There is time for a reason to think OPEC to adjust production significantly downward,” says David Fyfe of the IEA. If the growth of the global economy fell below 3% in the current and next-level according to the IMF is indicative of recessionary situation, the demand for oil could fall much lower than current estimates, the IEA estimates. In such a case, the projections were for an increase in demand of only 0.6 million barrels in 2012, compared to existing estimates to increase by 1.3 million barrels a day. This development could bring the consumption needs of crude from OPEC, lower than current levels of production of the cartel, leading to excess supply. Moreover, the agency notes in its report that oil production in Saudi Arabia jumped in June at highest level in 30 decades, being on average at 9.8 million barrels. This development was mainly attributable to the fact that the Saudis intervened to replace 70% of lost production because of Libya’s civil war erupted in the country.
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Profit 1.9% for crude
Strong growth recorded in crude on oil trading on Tuesday as it approached the level of $ 90 a barrel and multiply estimates that the weak economic recovery will require the U.S. Fed’s move and new interventions. The contract for crude delivery gained 1.63 dollars in October . or 1.9% to complete transactions at 88.90 dollars a barrel, ie the highest since Aug. 3. The current statements of the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Charles Evans that the economy is moving “sideways” and could use the help of the central bank rekindled speculation about new interventions on the part of the Fed. “I would be in favor of providing further support,” Evans said today during an interview on CNBC. At the same time practical since the last monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve who now saw the light of day showed that central bank officials discussed the possibility and third round of quantitative easing to stimulate the economy.